Timing Social Security: Does Life Expectancy Matter?

TLDRTiming social security doesn't make a big difference when considering life expectancy. Pilot Pete and Chef Steve both have high chances of retirement success, regardless of when they apply for social security. Delaying social security benefits may result in slightly higher monthly payments but lower probability of success. It's important to consider health, break-even age, and potential benefit cuts when deciding on when to take social security.

Key insights

📅Timing social security based on life expectancy has little impact on retirement success.

💰Delaying social security may result in slightly higher monthly payments, but it also decreases the probability of success.

🧪Factors such as health, break-even age, and potential benefit cuts should be considered when deciding on when to take social security.

🔍Timing social security has marginal benefits for individuals with a 90% or greater probability of retirement success.

🎯Choosing to take social security benefits early can act as a hedge against potential benefit cuts and system depletion.

Q&A

Does timing social security affect retirement success?

Timing social security has little impact on retirement success based on life expectancy.

What are the benefits of delaying social security?

Delayed social security results in slightly higher monthly payments but decreases the probability of success.

What factors should be considered when deciding on when to take social security?

Factors such as health, break-even age, and potential benefit cuts should be considered when deciding on when to take social security.

Does timing social security significantly change outcomes for individuals with a high probability of retirement success?

Timing social security has marginal benefits for individuals with a 90% or greater probability of retirement success.

What is the advantage of taking social security benefits early?

Taking social security benefits early can act as a hedge against potential benefit cuts and system depletion.

Timestamped Summary

00:00In this video, we revisit Pilot Pete and Chef Steve to examine the impact of life expectancy on timing social security.

02:30Timing social security based on life expectancy has little impact on retirement success.

04:45Delaying social security may result in slightly higher monthly payments, but it also decreases the probability of success.

06:01Factors such as health, break-even age, and potential benefit cuts should be considered when deciding on when to take social security.

06:55Timing social security has marginal benefits for individuals with a 90% or greater probability of retirement success.

07:09Choosing to take social security benefits early can act as a hedge against potential benefit cuts and system depletion.