10 Possible Endings to the Ukraine-Russia War

🚩The conflict could resemble the Soviet Union's war in Afghanistan, lasting for years and resulting in political and economic turmoil.

👑Putin's removal from office through protests, assassination, or a coup could lead to a new leader withdrawing Russian troops from the war.

🗺️Putin might wait until Victory Day to declare mission accomplished in Ukraine, using the gains made in Eastern Ukraine as the purpose of the war.

💣Putin might continue the war to secure a larger swath of territory or due to political vulnerabilities, gambling for a more favorable settlement.

🤝A negotiated settlement between Ukraine and Russia, based on mutually agreed outcomes, could bring an end to the war and avoid further casualties.

How long could the conflict in Ukraine last?

—The conflict could potentially last for years, similar to the Soviet Union's war in Afghanistan. This would result in political and economic turmoil for both Ukraine and Russia.

What are the chances of Putin being removed from office?

—It is challenging to assess the true popularity of Putin, but there are several scenarios that could lead to his removal, including popular protests, assassination, or a coup by disaffected politicians and generals.

What is Victory Day, and how could it impact the war?

—Victory Day, celebrated on May 9th, commemorates Germany's surrender in World War II. Putin might use this occasion to declare mission accomplished in Ukraine, framing the gains made in Eastern Ukraine as the purpose of the war.

Why would Putin continue the war despite potential risks?

—Putin might continue the war to secure a larger territory or due to political vulnerabilities. This strategy, known as gambling for resurrection, aims to negotiate from a stronger position and preserve Russia's interests.

Is a negotiated settlement possible between Ukraine and Russia?

—Yes, a negotiated settlement based on mutually agreed outcomes could bring an end to the war. Both countries would need to reach consensus on the eventual outcome and prioritize the well-being of their citizens.

00:00This video explores the ten possible ways the Ukraine-Russia War might conclude, including scenarios such as a long-lasting conflict, political change, Victory Day impact, Putin's strategy, and a negotiated settlement.

15:09The video concludes by summarizing the ten discussed scenarios and inviting viewers to share their opinions in the comments.